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Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #285 on: November 30, 2013, 01:00:37 PM »

Feedlot Numbers Fall on Summer Quarter
29 November 2013


AUSTRALIA - Third quarter cattle on feed numbers increased for all states on the same period last year, although fell on the summer quarter.

Feedlot data shows that, while feedlot placements 10 per cent from September, they remained 10 per cent above numbers for the same period in 2012.

According to the Australian Lot Feeders Association and Meat and Livestock Australia data, South Australia numbers leapt 101 per cent.

Increases across the country contributed to numbers reaching 787,487.

Western Australia lifted 61 per cent, well clear of the five year average.

However, the biggest headage came in Queensland, the main feedlot area, seeing totals reach 504,078, after lifting nine per cent.

Meanwhile, turnoff through the period lifted 21 per cent, 12 per cent above the five year average. Again, all states saw increases with Queensland up 19 per cent being the biggest contributor at 424,699.

 

Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #286 on: December 04, 2013, 07:30:08 PM »
Unique Jersey Breaks 100,000 Kilo Mark04 December 2013 AUSTRIA – A Jersey cow in Carinthia has produced over 100,000 kilos of milk in its lifetime, in a feat the agriculture chamber is hailing as ‘unique’.The agriculture chamber (LKO) has announced that 16 year old Tanja VG 83 has broken a milk production record by becoming the first Jersey cow in Austria to reach the milestone. Born in 1997, Tanja averaged 7136 litres over 12 lactations, with 5.35 per cent fat and 3.73 per cent protein. Her maximum yield was 8361 kilos of milk with higher fat content. An LKO spokesman said: “To produce 100,000 kg milk is no longer a rarity these days for some breeds. For Jersey cows however, this is unique.” The Carinthian Holstein Association has congratulated the Hassler family, Tanja’s owners, on the success. The LKO concluded that hilly ground represents a challenge for some breeds but the Jersey has adapted to life in Austria very well.

Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #287 on: December 11, 2013, 08:57:11 PM »
Australian Forecasts for Beef, Veal, Dairy Products High11 December 2013 AUSTRALIA - Australian farm exports are forecast to be around $38 billion in 2013–14, with higher forecasts for beef and veal, wine, and dairy products, according to the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES).ABARES released its latest assessment on the outlook for agricultural export earnings in the December edition of Agricultural Commodities. ABARES Executive Director, Ms Karen Schneider, said that if farm exports reach the forecast $38 billion, this would be a record high in nominal terms and around 8 per cent above the average over the five years to 2012-13 in real terms. "Livestock and livestock product export earnings are forecast to increase by 11.9 per cent in 2013–14 to $16.7 billion," Ms Schneider said. "Export earnings are forecast to increase by 12 per cent for beef and veal, 24 per cent for dairy products and 4 per cent for wine. "Export earnings from fisheries products are forecast to increase by 6.2 per cent to $1.25 billion, following a decline of 4.2 per cent in 2012-13. "Reflecting mainly the impact of lower world prices for grains and oilseeds, the value of crop exports is forecast to decline by 7.4 per cent in 2013–14 to around $21.3 billion." During this financial year, farm production is forecast to rise by 2.9 per cent, crop production is forecast to rise by 3.9 per cent and livestock production is forecast to increase by 1.6 per cent. "The gross value of farm production is forecast to increase by 6.3 per cent to $50.9 billion in 2013-14, compared with a small decline of 0.3 per cent in 2012–13," Ms Schneider said.

Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #288 on: December 15, 2013, 12:07:04 PM »

Australia to Face Competition For Key Markets
12 December 2013


AUSTRALIA - Interesting trade dynamics are in store for the US and Australian beef sectors, as markets vie for custom in 2014.

This week, the Department of Agriculture Fisheries and Forestry predicted a ‘promising outlook’ for Australian farm products, while for US beef, although less pessimistic than it was, the forecast remains lower for 2014.

On the one hand, Australia's beef and veal exports are tipped to reach a record 1.1 million tonnes swt, growing 12 per cent in value. On the other, analysts see competition in key markets arising from US and Brazil.

Following Japan’s 30 months of age rule introduction in February, the US has capitalised on opportunities to access the Japanese market, pushing Australian beef out, according to the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) quarterly agricultural commodities outlook.

Consequently, analysts predict Australian exports to Japan to fall six per cent.

Further problems face Australia in the form of diplomatic tensions with Indonesia, which could result in cattle imports being halted.

Phone tapping accusations reported in the media could lead to a limited number of cattle permits being distributed to Australia, unless Australia reacts with a sufficient diplomatic response.

This could leave Brazil as a new supplier, as Indonesia begins to assess alternative sources.

In contrast to diplomatic struggles, the ABARES report outlined some markets that would develop in 2014, such as the US manufacturing market.

This follows US production concerns after cow liquidation amid high feed prices forage scarcity through 2012. The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development has forecast US beef production and export dips in the coming year.

Similar forecasts were given in the latest World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates report from the US Department of Agriculture, although not as low as previous reports, at 11.02 million tonnes cwt in 2014.

Where Australia looks set to get the better of the US is in the Republic of Korea. The ABARES report explained that higher US beef prices would allow a five per cent rise in shipped weight beef.

The report added: “The decline in tariffs imposed on imports of US beef has been largely offset by higher US beef prices.

“The effect of the Korea–United States Free Trade Agreement on the relative shares of Korean beef imports has so far been minimal.

China is also expected to buy more Australian beef this year to satisfy expanding demand. In total, 160,000 tonnes more beef is predicted to be shipped to China, a 74 per cent increase.



Michael Priestley, Editor



Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #289 on: December 23, 2013, 03:23:57 PM »
Filipino Farmers Gifted One Carabao Each20 December 2013 PHILIPPINES – Farmers in Barangay province have each received a Carabao as part of the animal dispersal programme.A total of 26 cattle were given through the Office of the Provincial Veterinarian (OpVet) as part of a farming support scheme. A memorandum of agreement states the first calf from each Carabao must be returned to OpVet for future dispersals. The scheme has gifted animals to hundreds of farmers in Missayap, Pigcawayan and other townships in recent years. Regional governor, Emmylou Mendoza advised farmers take care of their donated animal. “The objective is to help farmer-beneficiaries acquire farm animals without cash outlay and to make them responsible enough to sustain the cattle.

Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #290 on: December 30, 2013, 03:43:42 PM »
Australian Beef Export Values Surge30 December 2013 AUSTRALIA - During October, Australian beef and veal export values reached A$546 million, up 17 per cent year-on-year and 26 per cent above the five-year average – to be the second largest monthly figure on record, after October 2008, at A$547 million according to figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.Meat and Livestock Australia said that the value of beef exports to Japan continued to decline in October, at A$109 million, down 16 per cent on year-ago levels, and totalling A$1.2 billion for the first 10 months, to be back six per cent from the corresponding period in 2012. On the other hand, US shipments during October were valued at A$108 million, underpinned by strong 90CL prices to Australia’s second largest beef export market. Similarly, the value of beef exports to Korea for October improved marginally by two per cent year-on-year, although increased significantly on the five-year average, up 23 per cent. This assisted the January-to-October figure to A$607 million, to be 21 per cent greater than the corresponding period last year. MLA said the developing export markets continued to emerge in October, with China (A$75 million) up 142 per cent on the previous year, while Indonesia (A$22 million) and the Middle East (A$28 million) were 98 per cent and 65 per cent higher, respectively, over the same period.

Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #291 on: January 07, 2014, 06:26:56 PM »

Cattle Outlook: US To Be Potential Buyer of Brazilian Beef?
07 January 2014

Ron Plain
Ron Plain

US - New cattle price records and news of opening up trade with certain Brazilian states takes the headlines and the lastest roundup by Ron Plain and Scott Brown, University of Missouri.

USDA has proposed opening U.S. markets to beef from certain states in Brazil that are free of foot and mouth disease. FMD is controlled in Brazil through vaccination, write Mr Plain and Brown.

The proposed change will make many in the U.S. beef industry nervous. Brazil is the world's largest beef exporter and has the potential to become a big supplier to the U.S. Being FMD free is a huge asset the U.S. has in world meat trade. Anything that might possible jeopardize our FMD status is worthy of opposition.

Fed cattle prices set new records this week. Through Thursday, the 5-area average price for slaughter steers sold on a live weight basis was $137.46/cwt, up $6.46 from a week ago and up $11.15 from a year ago. Steer sales on a dressed basis averaged a record $217.06/cwt this week.

This morning, the boxed beef cutout value for choice carcasses was $202.27/cwt, up $5.19 from the previous Friday and up $7.45 from a year ago. The select carcass cutout is $197.37/cwt, up $6.37 for the week and up $15.22 from the same day last year.

Packer margins are very tight. Either beef cutout has to keep climbing or fed cattle prices soften.

This week's cattle slaughter totaled 521,000 head, up 21.4 per cent from last week and up 0.4% from the corresponding week last year.

The average steer dressed weight for the week ending on December 21 was 871 pounds, down 1 pound from the week before and down 2 pounds from a year earlier. For the year, steer carcass weights averaged more than 4 pounds above the 2012 level.

There was no feeder cattle sale at Oklahoma City this week. Feeder cattle prices at this week's Joplin Stockyards auction were $3 to $10 higher than before Christmas. Prices for medium and large frame #1 steers by weight were: 400-450# $212.50-$227.50, 450-500# $200-$213, 500-550# $187-$205, 550-600# $178-$194.60, 600-700# $168-$184, 700-800# $161-$173.75, 800-900# $158.10-$165.50, and 900-1000# $149-$158/cwt.

The February live cattle futures contract closed at $136.30/cwt today, up $1.35 from last week's close. April fed cattle settled at $136.57, up 95 cents for the week. June settled at $130.05/cwt, up 50 cents.

The January feeder cattle futures contract ended the week at $167.62/cwt, up 62 cents for the week. March feeders closed at $168.10/cwt, which was 30 cents higher than the previous Friday.

Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #292 on: January 11, 2014, 10:57:52 AM »
Western Australia Cattle Summary10 January 2014 AUSTRALIA - Usual working patterns have resumed after Christmas in Western Australia as markets return to report a moderate volumes, says the Meat and Livestock Australia (MLA). A recent cyclone brought solid rainfall to parts of the Kimberley, Pilbara and in land pastoral regions, while the lower parts of the Pilbara, Gascoyne and Murchison regions still remain in drought conditions and in need of rainfall, write MLA experts. Conditions in southern WA are solid, as the weather remains, fine, hot and dry, with a heat wave forecast across the weekend and into the early parts of next week. The levy board writes: with the festive period now over there has been a return to normal working conditions, with sales rosters returning to their usual formats. Physical sale numbers remained buoyant this week as the southern turnoff of cattle continues at very high levels. Outside of the three weekly markets there were several additional regional weaner sales, while the annual regional breeder sales recommence next week, with bull early bull sales also rostered. The majority of cattle at the saleyards this week were sourced from local agricultural districts, with more limited numbers seen from pastoral areas. The volumes of prime trade and heavy weight steers and heifers remained only moderate in saleyards this week, with many of these now being purchased for live export contracts, as this activity remains very solid out of southern ports. Although weaner numbers in saleyards were solid there were also good volumes of both vealer steers and heifers purchased by the live trade. Cow numbers remained solid at all three markets. Demand from the feeder and restocker sectors for all classes of vealers remained very strong, despite the large volumes placed upon the market this week, with most sales seeing price rises throughout the classes. Demand for trade steers and heifers remains high from the local trade, with grass finished stocks dwindling and grain finished cattle yet to become fully available. Cow prices remained buoyant, while there was little change in either demand of price levels for heavy weight bulls.

Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #293 on: January 11, 2014, 10:58:45 AM »
Western Australia Cattle Summary10 January 2014 AUSTRALIA - Usual working patterns have resumed after Christmas in Western Australia as markets return to report a moderate volumes, says the Meat and Livestock Australia (MLA). A recent cyclone brought solid rainfall to parts of the Kimberley, Pilbara and in land pastoral regions, while the lower parts of the Pilbara, Gascoyne and Murchison regions still remain in drought conditions and in need of rainfall, write MLA experts. Conditions in southern WA are solid, as the weather remains, fine, hot and dry, with a heat wave forecast across the weekend and into the early parts of next week. The levy board writes: with the festive period now over there has been a return to normal working conditions, with sales rosters returning to their usual formats. Physical sale numbers remained buoyant this week as the southern turnoff of cattle continues at very high levels. Outside of the three weekly markets there were several additional regional weaner sales, while the annual regional breeder sales recommence next week, with bull early bull sales also rostered. The majority of cattle at the saleyards this week were sourced from local agricultural districts, with more limited numbers seen from pastoral areas. The volumes of prime trade and heavy weight steers and heifers remained only moderate in saleyards this week, with many of these now being purchased for live export contracts, as this activity remains very solid out of southern ports. Although weaner numbers in saleyards were solid there were also good volumes of both vealer steers and heifers purchased by the live trade. Cow numbers remained solid at all three markets. Demand from the feeder and restocker sectors for all classes of vealers remained very strong, despite the large volumes placed upon the market this week, with most sales seeing price rises throughout the classes. Demand for trade steers and heifers remains high from the local trade, with grass finished stocks dwindling and grain finished cattle yet to become fully available. Cow prices remained buoyant, while there was little change in either demand of price levels for heavy weight bulls.

Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #294 on: January 20, 2014, 01:50:03 PM »
Brazilian Steer Price Average Record Level in 201320 January 2014 BRAZIL - Brazilian steer prices in 2013 averaged the highest on record (in nominal value), at R$ 3.41 kg/lwt - approximately US$1.58/kg lwt accordimng to figures from Cepea/Esalq.Meat and Livestock Australia said that the high prices were driven by tight supplies, firm domestic consumption and strong international demand. Beef shipments also rose in 2013, up 27% year-on-year, to 1.2 million tonnes swt, reaching the highest yearly volume since 2007. The increase in cattle prices was also reported as a reflection of the lower number of cattle on feed in the second half of the year. According to Assocon (Feedlots National Association) it is estimated the number of cattle on feed was 3.09 million head in 2013, down 9% year-on-year. The cattle herd is also expected to have declined in 2013, which assisted cattle prices to rise last year according to Cepea/Esalq. Despite the short supply of cattle, strong international demand boosted slaughter, and for the January to November period, cattle slaughter totalled 16.6 million head, up 2.6 per cent on the previous year (MAPA). Beef exports were also helped by the Real depreciation, which averaged 46US¢ for 2013, down 9.6 per cent year-on-year, (Brazilian Central Bank) and 15 per cent lower than the five-year average.

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #295 on: February 09, 2014, 07:05:19 PM »
MLA: Weekly Cattle Summary07 February 2014 AUSTRALIA - This report is a collection of weekly cattle price summaries from each Australian territory by Meat & Livestock Australia (MLA). Victoria Numbers jump as saleyards return to full operation Total throughput across Victorian saleyards varied, as all selling centres returned to a full trading week. Total consignments across the state were up 21 per cent week-on-week. Warrnambool offered 50 per cent more cattle, while Leongatha reported an increase of 80 per cent. Pakenham’s yarding returned to normal, offering close to 1,600 head. Camperdown, Colac and Bairnsdale yarded around 10 per cent fewer numbers, while Wodonga slipped 38 per cent week-on-week. Finished cattle remain hard to source The last two weeks has seen prolonged hot weather which has affected the quality of cattle available at markets. The supplementary fed lines are, however, attracting strong bidding from processors. Quality did however lift in the grown steers section throughout the southern markets at Camperdown, Warrnambool and Colac, which attracted spirited bidding from processors. There was extra interest from processors at Leongatha assisting in price improvements, while the quality at Shepparton was average. Prices improve as demand increases Good quality heavy vealer steers to processors sold strongly, ranging from 161¢ to 217¢ to average 19¢ higher week-on-week, while the heifer equivalents followed a similar trend, up 21¢ to range from 135¢ to 207¢/kg. The 400kg plus yearling steers to feed slipped 2¢ to average 158¢, while C3 lines to process jumped 13¢ to finish on 172¢/kg across the state. Medium weight D3 yearling heifers were relative steady on last week, while heavy weights to feed lifted significantly averaging 149¢/kg. The C3 medium weight grown steers improved 3¢ on last week averaging 165¢, while D3 lines improved 10 to average 169¢/kg. Cows met a mixed price trend with D1 beef lines selling 5¢ dearer averaging 105¢, while D3 lines averaged 123¢, up 5¢/kg. Heavy D3 and 4 score cows improved by 3¢ to average 125¢ and 128¢/kg respectively. Queensland Yardings almost double The improved prices the previous week, combined with the below average seasonal conditions in the supply area and the return of the Toowoomba markets following the Australia Day public holiday, saw supply almost double at physical markets covered by MLA’s NLRS. Young cattle quality remains plain Quality in the young cattle sections continues to be fairly plain, with most suited to restockers and feeder operators and only a few consignments of supplementary fed lines suitable for the trade. The quality of the limited supply of heavy grown steers and bullocks was generally good, however the dry seasonal conditions were reflected in the standard of the cows, with larger numbers in the lower fat score range penned. A good line-up of export buyers was present and most were operating in a firm to dearer slaughter market. Feeder buyers were also very active, while lightweight young cattle received limited restocker support and very lacklustre demand from local and southern processors. High supply places downward pressure on lightweights Calves to restockers averaged close to 172¢ and D muscle lines were at 146¢/kg. Despite the short supply of vealer heifers, average prices fell by 4¢, with most at 141¢/kg. The relatively large supply of lightweight yearling steers to feed and restockers averaged close to 170¢, with the occasional well bred pen reaching 188¢, while an equally large number of D muscle classes averaged 150¢/kg. Medium and heavy weights to feed met very solid demand to average 170¢, with the occasional sale to 185¢/kg. The supply of lightweight yearling heifers exceeded demand and most struggled to average in the 130¢ range, while poor quality lines averaged 106¢/kg. Export processors were keen to make purchases at early and mid-week markets, however at sales later in the week demand tended to weaken. Heavy grown steers and bullocks averaged 178¢, with some bullocks reaching 188¢/kg. Restockers were very active in the cow section and provided a very solid base on plain condition lines, with most at 102¢/kg. Lightweight plain condition classes to processors averaged 66¢ and medium weight 2 scores averaged 102¢/kg. Good heavy cows averaged 142¢, with the occasional pen to 158¢/kg. New South Wales Consignments increase As the weekly markets return to normal following the holiday weekend, together with the seasonal conditions remaining dry, numbers nearly doubled at MLA’s NLRS reported markets. Wagga and Forbes commenced the week, to yard 3,450 and 1,189 cattle, respectively. Tamworth continued its larger markets to pen 3,042, as CTLX Carcoar gained 23 per cent week-on-week. Gunnedah along with Inverell yarded just over 10 per cent extra cattle. The Hunter sales were inconsistent, as Scone lifted 37 per cent, while Singleton slipped back 25 per cent in total. The northern sale at Armidale attracted its largest sale for a decade, as Dubbo more than doubled their consignments. Casino continues to pen smaller numbers, as producers hold back consignments due to the cheaper prices attained at local markets. Quality remains mixed On average markets reported mainly mixed quality offerings. Well finished younger cattle suitable for the trade were scattered throughout most markets, with the best quality mainly supplementary fed. Calf numbers lifted as producers offload calves to assist the cow herds. The vealer steers and heifers were similar in number, for 2,408 steers penned compared to 2,320 heifers. Yearling steers were well supplied, with 5,238 yarded, while 4,585 of the heifer portion were offered. Heavy grown steers suitable for slaughter were limited in number, with around 600 were penned, while most weights and grades of the older heifers were presented for sale. Cow numbers increased by 38 per cent, as the cheaper prices for the plainer lightweights kept restockers in the competition. Prices firm to dearer Although extra numbers were offered, prices lifted for most categories week-on-week. The medium weight vealer steers and heifers to restockers and the trade gained 3¢ to 5¢/kg. The yearling steers trended slightly dearer, as those selling to lot feeders and restockers averaged 162¢, after reaching 183¢/kg. Yearling heifers attracted stronger competition, with those to lot feeders gaining 5¢, as the heavier prime conditioned pens to the butchers lifted 10¢/kg. Heavy weight grown steers improved 5¢ to 6¢, as the best younger drafts reached 184¢, with most sales around the 160¢/kg range. Cows continued the dearer trends, with some sales 6¢ to 13¢/kg dearer for the lighter end selling to the restockers. Processors lifted prices by 8¢ to 12¢ to attain numbers, as the plainer D2 cows averaged 96¢/kg. The better finished 3 and 4 scores averaged around the 111¢ to 130¢/kg range. The better muscled heavy weight bull’s trended 4¢ dearer to top at 173¢/kg. South Australia Yardings increase Total yardings at NLRS reported SA markets lifted 22 per cent week-on-week, to total 3,688 head. This was primarily due to the return of the SA Livestock Exchange after the Australia Day public holiday and a strong lift in numbers at Mount Gambier, which penned 28 per cent more cattle. Numbers at Millicent were 7 per cent higher, while Naracoorte defied the trend to yard 4 per cent fewer numbers. Quality fluctuates between markets Quality was reportedly very mixed at the SA Livestock Exchange and demand fluctuated, with restockers and feeders active on store condition cattle but subdued on lines of poorer bred cattle. Naracoorte, however, saw demand lift for an average to good quality yarding, as larger percentages of good quality yearlings and cows were penned, although grown steers and heifers were in limited supply. Mount Gambier also recorded an improvement in the quality of the top end of the market and restockers were particularly active on both yearling and grown steers. More than half of the yarding at Millicent was made up of C3 vealers, most of which were of very good quality and the cow penning generally carried plenty of condition. Prices lift on better conditioned lines Heavy weight C3 vealer steers to slaughter lifted 21¢ to average 180¢, while the equivalent heifer portion gained 20¢, to settle on 167¢/kg. Medium and heavy weight C3 yearling steers to processors were 3¢ to 8¢ dearer, to average around 159¢/kg. Medium D2 yearling heifers, also to processors, improved 19¢ on 126¢, while the D3 lines were up 4¢ on 125¢/kg. Heavy weight C3 heifers averaged 5¢ dearer, to settle on 145¢/kg. The C4 bullocks were 18¢ dearer, selling at an average price of 173¢/kg. Good heavy C3 and C4 beef cows lifted 6¢ to 7¢, to average 130¢, while D2 and D3 scores were firm to 9¢ higher on 122¢/kg. Western Australia Improved conditions in the north There has been solid rainfall reported throughout much of the Kimberley and Pilbara regions over the past week, with the Top End now enjoying the benefits of the “wet”. Further south and the Gascoyne River is now flowing through Carnarvon for the first time in nearly three years, with reasonable rainfall recorded in the eastern catchment. The southern agricultural regions remain hot and predominately fine and dry, despite some isolated thunderstorm activity seen in eastern areas. Heavyweights in limited supply There were increased supplies of cattle at all three markets this week, with the return of the southwest sale, which wasn’t operational the previous week following on from the long weekend. The majority of these were sourced from local agricultural districts, with very limited numbers of cattle recorded from pastoral regions. There continues to be limited numbers of prime heavy weight steers and heifers penned at physical markets, while the volumes of yearling trade cattle remained only moderate. Weaner turnoff remains very high, but this will diminish sharply in the next couple of weeks with the two day format in the Great Southern soon to revert back to a one day sale. Cow numbers remained buoyant, with many producers and agents alike now preferring to use physical markets given the very strong market conditions that exist at present. Demand remains solid across all categories Despite weaner classes experiencing continued strong demand from both the feeder and restocker sectors, there was a slight easing in prices, with the market failing to maintain the very strong levels recorded the previous week. Prime trade weight yearlings met with continued strong demand from the local trade and retail sectors, with little change realised in prices. This was also the case in heavy weight steer and heifer classes. Cow weight and quality were again solid. Trade demand continued to increase throughout the classes, with all grades attracting higher price levels.

Mustang Sally Farm

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #296 on: February 17, 2014, 09:29:50 AM »
Weekly Cattle Summary: WASDE Steers Slaughter Forecast $2.50 Higher17 February 2014 Ron Plain USDA's February WASDE increased their forecast of slaughter steer prices in 2014 by $2.50/cwt, write Ron Plain and Scott Brown from the University of Missouri. They now expect the 5 area average for slaughter steers this year will be between $132/cwt and $140/cwt. USDA is predicting 2014 beef production will be down 5.3per cent from last year. USDA released their long term forecast this week. It has beef production decreasing in 2014, 2015 and 2016 and then increasing each year through 2023, which is the end of their forecast range. Over the coming decade, USDA predicts live slaughter steer prices will increase from the low $130s this year to the mid $150s in 2023. By 2023, USDA expects U.S. beef production to only be 1.1per cent greater than last year. They are predicting 2023 beef exports will be up 38.8per cent from 2013 and 2023 pork imports will be up 29.3per cent compared to 2013. USDA expects U.S. per capita beef consumption to stabilize around 50-52 pounds of retail weight per year. Through Thursday, the 5-area average price for slaughter steers sold on a live weight basis was $141.99/cwt, up $1.43 from a week ago and up $19.18 from a year ago. Steer sales on a dressed basis averaged $223.00/cwt this week, down $2.35 from a week ago, but up $27.14 from year ago. This morning, the boxed beef cutout value for choice carcasses was $207.23/cwt, down $5.02 from the previous Friday, but up $24.40 from a year ago. The select carcass cutout is $207.30/cwt, down $2.66 for the week, but up $26.59 from last year. It rarely happens, but this morning the select cutout was 7 cents above the choice cutout. This week's cattle slaughter totaled 539,000 head, down 3.9per cent from last week and down 9.6per cent from the corresponding week last year. The average steer dressed weight for the week ending on February 1 was 874 pounds, up 1 pound from the week before and up $2 pounds from a year earlier. Feeder cattle prices at this week's Oklahoma City auction were steady in light volume due to extremely cold weather. This week's prices for medium and large frame #1 steers by weight were: 400-450# $217-$236, 450-500# $214-$221, 500-550# $199-$216, 550-600# $183-$200, 600-650# $172-$180, 650-700# $172-$178, 700-750# $162-$174.50, 750-800# $163.25-$167.50, 800-900# $155.50-$162.25, and 900-1000# $152.75-$158/cwt. The February live cattle futures contract closed at $142.60/cwt today, up $1.40 from last week's close. April fed cattle settled at $141.10, up 70 cents for the week. June settled at $132.30/cwt, up 20 cents. The March feeder cattle futures contract ended the week at $170.47/cwt, up $2.67 for the week. May feeders closed at $171.77/cwt, up $2.57 from the previous Friday. August feeder cattle futures settled at $173.45/cwt. The March corn futures contract gained a penny this week to end at $4.4525/bushel.

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #297 on: March 11, 2014, 04:42:07 PM »

MLA: Weekly Cattle Summary
11 March 2014

Meat & Livestock Australia
 

AUSTRALIA - The following report is a collection of market summaries from the previous week across Australia's territories from analysts at Meat and Livestock Australia (MLA).

Victoria

Numbers jump

Overall yardings at markets reported by MLA’s National Livestock Reporting Service lifted 18% week-on-week to total 13,646 head. The larger markets of Leongatha and Pakenham gained 54% and 10%, respectively, while supply at Camperdown more than doubled to 1,085 head. Numbers at Warrnambool lifted 2% week-on-week, while Shepparton penned 57% more cattle and Colac recorded a much larger yarding of 913 head. The only markets to defy the trend were Ballarat and Wodonga, back 16% and 20%, respectively.

Quality mixed, but competition strong

Most markets reported mixed quality offerings this week. Fewer better quality calves were available in a larger selection of veal at Pakenham, while Shepparton’s offering also comprised of a larger proportion of vealers. Feeder and restocker buyers were operating on suitable lightweight yearling steers at Leongatha, however trade weights were harder to source. Wodonga yarded a few outstanding pens of supplementary fed yearlings, while secondary types saw the best improvements at Bairnsdale.

Grown steers were in very good condition at Ballarat, while Camperdown penned a greater number of bullocks week-on-week. Prices lifted at Pakenham’s very small grown cattle sale as buyers competed strongly to secure numbers, with young cows selling to a premium.

Prices generally dearer

Heavyweight C3 vealer steers to slaughter eased 4¢ to average 201¢, while their heifer counterparts were 1¢ dearer on 190¢/kg. Heavy C3 and 4 yearling steers to processors gained 2¢ to average 185¢ and 189¢/kg, respectively. Medium and heavy weight D3 yearling heifers to the trade lifted 3¢ to 158¢ and 164¢, respectively, while heavyweight C3 lines were up 1¢ to average 167¢/kg.

Heavy C3 grown steers averaged 2¢ better on 180¢, while D3 bullocks were unchanged on 176¢/kg. A large supply of D3 and 4 cows were 6¢ to 8¢ dearer, to average 136¢/kg.

Western Australia

Conditions ease

The dry conditions and hot temperatures continued throughout much of WA, particularly in the southern agricultural districts of the state. Feed and water supplies continue to diminish with calving activity on the increase and the majority of early calving having now already been completed. Conditions in the far north remain reasonable, while there continue to be parts of the Pilbara, Gascoyne and Murchison regions that remain in drought.

Smaller numbers in physical markets

There were lower supplies of cattle seen in physical markets this week, with the long weekend resulting in the cancellation of Monday’s southwest sale. Saleyards saw limited supplies of prime trade and heavy weight steers and heifers penned, while weaner cattle supplies accounted for a reasonable percentage of total numbers. The majority of cattle were sourced from local agricultural regions, with pastoral drafts remaining very limited. The scarce supplies of prime bullocks and export weight steers experienced an increase in local trade demand that created higher overall prices. This was also the case in heavy weight mature heifer sales, but again was partly due to the very limited supplies of these cattle seen in physical markets. The supplies of prime trade weight yearlings were also nominal and as with their heavy weight counterparts enjoyed very strong trade and retail demand.

Demand remains high

Demand for slaughter cattle remains high in the south, with the supplies of all categories, outside of grain finished, continuing to tighten. Demand for weaner cattle continued at high levels this week, despite the decrease in both quality and weight as the feeder, restocker and live export sectors competed for their purchases. There were solid supplies of store cows penned at Muchea this week and these met solid trade and restocker demand, while prime heavy weight cows continued to record very strong and active demand from the local and export processor sectors.

New South Wales

Consignments continue to slip

As seasonal conditions improve across the majority of the state, numbers slipped 13% week-on-week at markets reported by MLA’s NLRS. With some southern parts of the state recording rainfall during the past week, consignments eased 13% at Wagga, while Tamworth defied the lower trends to lift 6% in total. Forbes yarded its lowest number for some time with 414 cattle penned. CTLX Carcoar lost 17% for a total of 1,680 head, as Gunnedah eased 11% week-on-week. Inverell also defied the trend to increase 35%, albeit from low numbers recorded at the previous market. The Hunter markets both recorded lower consignments, with useful follow up rainfall throughout the supply area. Dubbo nearly halved its numbers, as weekend rainfall instilled greater producer confidence around the area. Armidale and Casino trended differently, as Casino gained 30%, with Armidale losing 7% for a yarding of 2,289 head.

Quality remains mixed

Quality on average remained mixed, however the majority of markets reported numbers of supplementary fed prime conditioned younger cattle offered. The younger steers and heifers were represented by similar numbers, as 5,001 steers compared to 4,971 of the heifer portion were yarded. Heavy grown steers suitable for slaughter were again limited in supply with only 439 offered. Cow numbers slipped by 2% for a total of 4,971 yarded, with restockers again active.

Markets trend dearer

Younger vealer steers and heifers selling to both restocker and processor orders trended 3¢ to 10¢/kg dearer, and more in places. Yearling steers lifted 8¢ to the lot feeder orders, as the better end reached a shade over the 200¢/kg range. Prime conditioned yearlings to the butchers also sold to increased competition, as the better muscled pens topped at 218¢/kg. The unfinished yearling heifers to the lot feeders gained 6¢/kg.

Extra northern processor competition boosted the heavy weight grown steer prices by 8¢, as prices reached 194¢, with most selling around the 179¢ to 182¢/kg range. Cows continue to trade at dearer levels, as those to the restockers improved another 10¢ to 12¢/kg. Increased processor competition lifted prices by 5¢ to 8¢, as the plainer D2 pens averaged 110¢/kg. The better finished 3 and 4 scores ranged from 120¢ to 155c¢/kg. Heavy weight bulls maintained firm prices, with the best reaching 168¢/kg.

Queensland

Supply boosts

After rain induced lower supply last week, numbers bounced back, with supply up 53% week-on-week to total 16,261 head. Dalby yardings lifted 11% week-on-week, the highest level since July last year, while Roma store sale throughput more than doubled. Toowoomba Elders and Roma prime yarded similar numbers of cattle. Toowoomba Landmark supplies doubled, while yardings ta Warwick increased 51%, with cows making up nearly 70% of the total yarding.

Stronger feeder demand

Despite the dry weather most of the medium and heavy weight yearling and grown cattle were in condition suitable for slaughter or feed, while there was a large variation in the standard of the young cattle. Quality at Toowoomba Elders was boosted by the Millmerran Show prime cattle exhibit. Feeder buyer activity was strong at all markets this week, while processor demand was solid on suitable lines. Supply of young light weight cattle at Dalby exceeded demand and, as a result, price reductions occurred.

Prices mixed

Most heavy weight calves to restockers were 17¢ cheaper to average 159¢/kg. Light weight C2 vealer steers to feeder buyers were 1¢ lower on 159¢, while their vealer heifer counterparts eased 3¢ to average 135¢/kg. Light weight yearling C2 steers to restockers were 5¢ cheaper on 168¢, while the D2 lines to restockers improved 6¢ to 139¢/kg. Medium weight C3 yearling steers to feeder buyers lifted 2¢ to average 177¢, while heavy weight C3 lines to feed gained 3¢ to 181¢/kg. Light weight D2 yearling heifers to restocker decreased 6¢ to settle on 125¢/kg.

Heavy weight C3 grown steers to feed average 168¢, while the C4 lines to slaughter eased 1¢ to 177¢/kg. Bullocks to slaughter gained 3¢ and averaged 180¢/kg. Medium weight D2 cows to slaughter lifted 3¢ to 112¢, while the similar weight D3 drafts eased 2¢ to 123¢/kg. Heavy weight D4 cows to slaughter decreased 4¢ to average 145¢/kg.

South Australia

Supply at Mount Gambier lifts significantly

Overall supply at markets reported by MLA’s National Livestock Reporting Service eased 3% week-on-week to total 3,147 head. Millicent returned to its fortnightly sale format and did not operate this week, while both Naracoorte and the SA Livestock Exchange recorded lower supply to be 17% and 12% lower, respectively. However these reductions were largely offset by a lift in numbers at Mount Gambier, increasing 37% to 1,958 head.

Quality mixed

Quality was very mixed at all markets this week and reportedly slipped a little at Naracoorte compared to the previous sale. Local and interstate trade and processor demand was strong at the SA Livestock Exchange but erratic at Mount Gambier. Restocker buyers at Mount Gambier were more active than recent weeks and purchased more good quality cattle. Demand for export cattle was slightly stronger at Naracoorte, seeing cows and bulls lift in price and grown cattle hold firm.

Prices vary

Heavyweight B3 vealer steers to processors were 5¢ cheaper, averaging 209¢, while heavy C3 heifers were unchanged on 172¢/kg. Heavy C3 yearling steers to slaughter reached a top price of 193¢ before settling on an average of 180¢, up 11¢/kg. Medium weight C4 yearling heifers to processors were firm on 159¢, while their heavyweight counterparts were 4¢ dearer to average 168¢/kg.


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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #298 on: March 22, 2014, 06:34:30 PM »
Brazilians On 10 Year Path to 40 Per Cent More Milk and Meat21 March 2014 BRAZIL

 A bullish government proposal has set sights on increasing meat and milk production by 40 per cent in 10 years.The target is part of the Ministry of Agriculture Livestock and Supply (MAPA) ‘More Livestock Plan’. The figure appears in a report from El Observador which said National Milk Institute (INALE) data indicated the dairy sector was on a strong growth trajectory. The report described the productivity lift seen on Brazil’s livestock operations over the last decade, up almost a quarter higher. Using short to long term goals, the programme looks to strengthen livestock production through better genetics, more exports, precision farming and rigorous food safety checks. One dairy objective is to cement Brazil as a key global trader. For this to be possible a 40 litre per capita production lift is needed from 170 litres/year to 210 litres/year. Per cow, this means an increase of 2,000 kilos. The government has pledged to invest in marketing and ways to add value to dairy produce while tackling issues of dairy allergies.

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Re: World Cattle News:
« Reply #299 on: April 04, 2014, 03:58:52 PM »
Cattle Futures: Market is With Bulls, Thursday04 April 2014 US - Bulls have the advantage in both live and feeder cattle markets, according to TheCattleSite analyst, Jim Wyckoff. June live cattle closed up $0.60 at $137.37 Thursday. Prices closed near the session high today. The bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a four-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price “breakout” objective is to push and close prices above solid resistance at the contract high of $139.00. The next downside technical breakout objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $135.30. First resistance is seen at $137.85 and then at $138.12. First support is seen at today’s low of $137.00 and then at $136.40. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5 May feeder cattle closed up $2.17 at $180.15 Thursday. Prices closed nearer the session high and bolted to a fresh contract high today. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a four-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price breakout objective for the feeder bulls is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at $182.50. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is to push and close prices below solid technical support at this week’s low of $176.62. First resistance is seen at today’s contract high of $180.30 and then at $181.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $179.32 and then at $178.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5