Goat Industry Performance Report 2009

[mikey]

Goat Industry Performance Report
January-December 2009
As of January 1, 2010, total goat inventory was estimated at 4.20 million head. It was 0.44 percent lower than last year’s headcount. Of the total goat population, around 37 percent were female breeders or does, 9 percent were male breeders or bucks, 33 percent were kids, and 21 percent were classified as castrated male and other goat for fattening.


In 2009, total goat production was estimated at 77.38 thousand metric tons liveweight. This was 0.81 percent lower than last year’s gross output of 78.01 thousand metric tons.


The annual average farmgate price of live goat increased by 16.65 percent or from P75.29 per kilogram in 2008 to P87.83 per kilogram in 2009.


according to Govt. stats,goat numbers are down for 2009.Commercial farms are still very low in numbers,hummm,lets hope these numbers improve for the 2010 head count.

[nemo]

MArketing is the problem.

Filipinos are still a pork and chicken loving country.

Goat is still considered as a delicacy and not your usual table food.

[mikey]

Dairy Industry Performance Report
January-December 2009
The total dairy animal population as of January 1, 2010 was estimated at 32,007 head. This was 8.16 percent higher than last year’s inventory. In particular, there was a 12.44 percent increment in the number of dairy cattle.


In 2009, fresh milk production in the country stood at 14.3 million liters, 3.34 percent higher than last year’s level of 13.8 million liters. Of this total, 8.6 million liters or 60.6 percent were cow’s milk, 5.4 million liters or 38.1 percent were carabao’s milk and 0.19 million liters or 1.3 percent were goat’s milk.


In 2009, the volume of dairy imports was 1,789.7 thousand metric tons or 10.56 percent higher than the 2008 level of 1,618.7 thousand metric tons. However, there was a decrease of 34.5 percent in the value of dairy imports, from the 2008 level of US$ 712.0 million to US$ 466.7 million in 2009. This decrease was attributed to lower prices of dairy products in the world market.

"according to Govt. stats only 1.3% of total milk production came from goats in 2009??
and probably Alaminos Goat Farm accounts for most of this 1.3% since they seem the largest goat dairy operation in the country."

[mikey]

PHILIPPINE DAIRY UPDATE
January – December 2009
 


• The dairy supply situation for 2009 is characterized by increasing local milk production and imports and
decreasing exports of milk and milk products.

The net supply stood at 272.82 million kg and was around 19 percent higher than the previous year’s net supply of 229.36 million kg. Local production and imports grew by 12.54% and 3.33% respectively while exports declined by 28.68 percent.


• For year 2009, imports of milk and dairy products increased by around 13 percent (up to 286.18 million kg from 254.29 million kg). In terms of value, it declined to a rate of 34.45 percent (from total dairy import bill of US$712.00 million to US$466.72 million in 2008 indicating a decrease in unit import cost of 41.75 percent in dollar terms and 37.60 percent in pesos. (depreciation of the peso to 7.13%).

Although milk powder constitutes the bulk of imports, this year it only accounted for 63 percent from the previous level of 67 percent. Skimmed milk powder that comprised 31percent of milk imports in 2008 was still at the same level of around 31 percent of total milk imports in 2009. However, of the milk powder, only whole milk powder posted a downtrend of around 24%.
According to FAO. despite a rebound of exports from New Zealand and South America, global exports in 2009 of the most important milk products are seen to decline 5 percent, falling to 38.6 million tons. This fall is due mainly to an estimated reduction of 3 million tons in the exports from the European Union and the United States. In these countries, where the combined exports accounted for one-third of world trade, traders were not attracted by world markets during the first half of the year, and preferred instead to stock or sell milk products in domestic markets.
On the imports side, the world market had been characterized by weak demand and prices, with a notable contraction of imports by some countries. However, with shrinking exports supplies, the end of 2009 is characterized by firmer prices, and the outlook for 2010 is for a return to the trade levels of 2008 or an increase of 5 percent.
Higher prices, and the recovery of the world economy creating a renewed interest of traders on exports markets, particularly in Asia.

According to FAO, about half of the world’s whole milk powder production is traded in the world market and the largest outlets are developing countries, still global trade of WMP of 1.9 million tons showed a decrease of about 2 percent in 2009.
Global trade in SMP is seen to fall of about 10 percent in 2009. Demand from Africa has fallen by 25%, but purchases from Southeast Asia have grown significantly, in particular due to our country’s renewed interest as well as Malaysia.
All dairy products are showing signs of strong recovery to levels not seen since August 2008. The largest increase has been displayed by butter, the price of which has doubled since February to USD 3 688/ton. However, prices for both skim milk and whole milk powder have also increased by over 90 percent to USD 3 375 and USD 3 525/ton respectively.
The causes of this rapid price rise are not fully clear, particularly in view of the large public stocks for both butter and skim milk powder available in the European Union.
However, a) stock retention combined with reduced milk output in the European Union and the United States, and b) lower growth than expected in Oceania's milk output may be contributing factors to tight export supplies.
The economic recovery underway in large Asian countries and in certain oil exporting countries may also be an important factor in renewed import demand. The sustainability of the rise in prices is uncertain, though contingent on the responses of the European Union and other exporting countries which hold dairy product stocks

Of the dairy product imports, skim milk powder as well as ready to drink milk (RTD), whey powder, buttermilk powder, butter and butterfat, cheese and condensed milk and other milk products all recorded increases in import levels. Whole milk powder recorded the highest decrease among imported dairy products at around 24% followed by cream, curd and evaporated milk. (Please refer to dairy industry statistics as Annex 1)

Ready to drink milk was higher by 7% in volume and down at 14 percent in value. It accounted still for 14% of dairy
import volume. The increase in local production of only 3%, accompanied by an increase in imports of liquid milk by 6%, resulted in 27% share of local production to total liquid milk supply (the same from the previous year level of 27%). So that, we are still at more than one out of four glasses of liquid milk supply.
• In terms of sources and value share, New Zealand accounted 49 percent to total dairy import bill. Due to stock retention combined with the reduced milk output in the European Union and the United States, Australia ranked now as second supplier followed by USA with 18 percent and 16 percent respectively.
Total tariff collected from dairy imports amounted to US$9.07 million or approximately Php432.09 million.
• The commercial milk importer/processors who re-export of reprocessed milk products to other Asian countries continued to be a robust activity in the processed milk sector.

The volume of exports reached 27.63 million kilograms, around 29% lower than the last year’s level. Whole milk powder (accounting for 85% share to total dairy exports) recorded a decrease of 35%. However, only ice cream, cream, cheese and other dairy products were the big exports during the period.

Malaysia was the top market of Phil. dairy products, accounting for 26 percent of the entire export volume and value respectively. Next was Indonesia that took 23percent of the total. For the first time, Bangladesh was included and ranked fourth with other countries of destination that include Thailand and South Africa with shares of 3%, 20% and 3% respectively.
• The dairy sector produced 3.33% more output as cow’s milk from the dairy cooperative farms as well as private individual/NGO farms grew.

Our local milk production is derived from dairy herd that had increased by 7% (34,093 head). Of this herd, dairy cattle registered an increase of 12% (to 16,949 head). There was also an increase of 14 percent in the number of dairy goats (to 3,674 head). Carabao inventory totaled to 13,470 head. By animal source, 63% of the volume of milk production was cow’s milk, 36% carabao’s milk and less than 1% goat’s milk.

Of the total milk output of 14.27 million liters, NDA-assisted projects' accounted for around 72percent or a total 10.22 million liters. Milk production increased from 26.48 MT per day to 28.01 MT per day.

Dairy recorded an 11.92% increase in gross earnings of P461.06 million as a result of higher production and farm gate price.
• The dairy sector accounted for 0.04% and 0.24% of total agricultural and livestock production value (at current prices) of Php1,188.02 billion and Php196.02 billion respectively.
NDA-PMSD3/19/10